Carmichael raises risk of 63% drop in food exports in new report


Orkney and Shetland MP, Alistair Carmichael, has raised concerns in Parliament about a new report suggesting a 63% drop in UK food exports to the EU if there is no trade deal at the end of the year. Speaking in Parliament, Mr Carmichael highlighted the potential impact on small producers in the isles which have specialised in exports. The London School of Economics report raised a range of concerns for UK agriculture in the event of a no-deal outcome, due to increased trade barriers and tariffs in key markets.

During the debate in Parliament the Minister in charge of No Deal planning, Michael Gove MP, admitted that there would now be an internal border in Kent for haulage vehicles and that there were risks of lorry queues in the thousands.

Speaking in the House, Mr Carmichael said:

“The London School of Economics estimates that a no-deal Brexit could lead to a 63% decrease in food exports to the European Union. For the salmon farmers, the crofters producing lamb and the shellfishermen in my constituency, that could be absolutely ruinous. What comfort can the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster give to the people in my constituency whose livelihoods depend on that export market?”

Responding for the government, the Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster, Michael Gove MP said:

“One of the things that the Government have always stressed is that in the event of a no-deal exit, the sectors that would be most adversely affected by tariffs would be in the agriculture sector, with red meat producers particularly hard hit. That is why we are anxious to avoid that outcome and to secure a deal. Come what may, there will be new processes, but also new markets, for producers in Orkney and Shetland. I will work with him to make sure that, in whatever eventuality, we support the high-quality producers in his constituency.”

Reacting after the exchange, Mr Carmichael said:

“The figures in the LSE report are stark about the risks to food producers in a no-deal outcome. This is particularly true for those who have developed a specialised offering for the export market including many in the isles. A 63% drop would put not only individual businesses but entire industries on the scrapheap. They deserve a voice and a say in averting this potential disaster.

“Mr Gove has said that he will support producers in the Northern Isles. I will be following up in writing to ask him to meet with myself and industry representatives. Many food producers have been a lifeline during the pandemic – they cannot be simply ignored now.”


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